
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Vol $5KTotal $345KLiq $193KEnds in 36 days
11 total
Lula da Silva 5-10%+0.0%40.5%
Lula da Silva <5%+0.0%28.5%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%-0.0%6.0%
Lula da Silva 10-15%-0.0%5.9%
Lula da Silva 15%++0.0%5.5%